If not handled properly, the financial crisis will become the humanitarian crisis in the future. To social unrest and political instability will increase, intensifying other problems. Danger, a series of crises each other with a potential strike all parties. " Therefore, warning the Secretary-General of the United Nations Ban Ki-moon in Doha, Qatar, on economic and development conference sponsored by the United Nations, 29 November 2008.
This Likewise with the contents of the report the National Intelligence Council (NIC) to the front, the potential conflict will occur as a result of seizing the wealth of natural resources and the fruits of the multipolar power, namely the U.S., India, Russia, China, Europe, and also called for a no - in it.The strength of the U.S., while still dominant, has started tergerogoti. This report was deliberately excluded to know where to position U.S. elected U.S. president, Barack Obama.
Is there a way to prevent this? There are, at least by two things. First, with the creation of a new international order that brings together the strength of the benevolent act according to international rules malevolent force. It is important to prevent the world from the impact of civilization such as Samuel P Huntington predicted.There is optimism this will be realized, namely, the ambition President Obama, who on Monday, 1 December 2008, will return to strengthen alliances and develop long the new partnership. He promised the defense strategy combines diplomacy with it. The promise of the other, strengthen international bodies, a power penyatu all nations, not as the "toys" as occurred under President George W Bush, the president along with the popularity of the worst history of the U.S. presidency.The new U.S. Laos, Hillary Clinton, replied with said, "We will create a new world with hope rather than a threat." However, there is pessimism. "Leadership exclusive groups such as the G-7 and G-20 is required, but during this act is not inclusive, loss of legitimacy, and lose effectiveness," said UN Assistant Secretary General for Economic Development Jomo nina Sundaram. Sundaram suggest, "Therefore, it is very important to meredesain international order through a process involving many parties and display the face multilateralisme."Multilateralisme is also required to set the financial sector, the move illegal, becomes speculative. The result is speculation the price of commodities such as oil, and the price meroket. The financial sector also illegal confinement by fraud Pour excess credit to the U.S. housing sector. The result was the bankruptcy of financial institutions of international caliber. Bankruptcy domino effect of the financial sector is a global economic crisis.
Worst crisis
Therefore, the two things that must be overcome is the economic crisis now, which triggered the crisis in the financial sector. UN economist, Rob Vos (Director of Policy and Analysis Division of the United Nations), said the worst scenario for 2009 is the global gross domestic production anjlok 0.4 percent, or the worst since the 1930's. Optimistic scenarios show global GDP to grow 1.6 percent, down from growth of 2.5 percent in 2008 and worse than 3,5-4 percent four years earlier. The medium scenario, global GDP grew only 1 percent. All the scenarios show the world is entering 2009 the beetle.
To reduce global poverty by one percent, the economic growth of 7 percent. Anjloknya global GDP will increase poverty. This is the fear the UN Secretary General. Empirical studies have been conducted in 1999 by Michael K Fingerand and Ludger Schuknecht for the World Trade Organization (WTO), entitled "Special Studies: Trade, Finance, and Financial Crises." The contents, the crisis that triggered the financial sector, have a greater opportunity menjungkalkan economy. The crisis now is to overwrite termaju countries, such as the U.S., Europe and Japan, the absorbent main demand world. However, this has tremendous impact on various countries, with a world that is mutually connected. The world's poorest nation, as it is said Ban Ki-moon, is the most important. The decrease of international assistance is one thing that is certain to step down. International trade will also decrease. A number of multinational companies have complained about the slow exports. Suggestions that the public is encouraged penggenjotan government budget, mengompensasi the decline in private consumption and investment. Indonesia's reaction, the economic stimulus. Leadership in our countries is very necessary, as Franklin D Roosevelt said that successfully extricate the U.S. from the crisis. Leadership not only in the form of additional spending, but also the ability to remove economic distortions, such as charges, or bribes, corruption, bureaucracy and the sluggish service. According to the economist Peru, Hernando de Soto, a sluggish bureaucracy is the fruit of leadership and political elite of the doldrums. Not elite who can receive the doldrums?
This Likewise with the contents of the report the National Intelligence Council (NIC) to the front, the potential conflict will occur as a result of seizing the wealth of natural resources and the fruits of the multipolar power, namely the U.S., India, Russia, China, Europe, and also called for a no - in it.The strength of the U.S., while still dominant, has started tergerogoti. This report was deliberately excluded to know where to position U.S. elected U.S. president, Barack Obama.
Is there a way to prevent this? There are, at least by two things. First, with the creation of a new international order that brings together the strength of the benevolent act according to international rules malevolent force. It is important to prevent the world from the impact of civilization such as Samuel P Huntington predicted.There is optimism this will be realized, namely, the ambition President Obama, who on Monday, 1 December 2008, will return to strengthen alliances and develop long the new partnership. He promised the defense strategy combines diplomacy with it. The promise of the other, strengthen international bodies, a power penyatu all nations, not as the "toys" as occurred under President George W Bush, the president along with the popularity of the worst history of the U.S. presidency.The new U.S. Laos, Hillary Clinton, replied with said, "We will create a new world with hope rather than a threat." However, there is pessimism. "Leadership exclusive groups such as the G-7 and G-20 is required, but during this act is not inclusive, loss of legitimacy, and lose effectiveness," said UN Assistant Secretary General for Economic Development Jomo nina Sundaram. Sundaram suggest, "Therefore, it is very important to meredesain international order through a process involving many parties and display the face multilateralisme."Multilateralisme is also required to set the financial sector, the move illegal, becomes speculative. The result is speculation the price of commodities such as oil, and the price meroket. The financial sector also illegal confinement by fraud Pour excess credit to the U.S. housing sector. The result was the bankruptcy of financial institutions of international caliber. Bankruptcy domino effect of the financial sector is a global economic crisis.
Worst crisis
Therefore, the two things that must be overcome is the economic crisis now, which triggered the crisis in the financial sector. UN economist, Rob Vos (Director of Policy and Analysis Division of the United Nations), said the worst scenario for 2009 is the global gross domestic production anjlok 0.4 percent, or the worst since the 1930's. Optimistic scenarios show global GDP to grow 1.6 percent, down from growth of 2.5 percent in 2008 and worse than 3,5-4 percent four years earlier. The medium scenario, global GDP grew only 1 percent. All the scenarios show the world is entering 2009 the beetle.
To reduce global poverty by one percent, the economic growth of 7 percent. Anjloknya global GDP will increase poverty. This is the fear the UN Secretary General. Empirical studies have been conducted in 1999 by Michael K Fingerand and Ludger Schuknecht for the World Trade Organization (WTO), entitled "Special Studies: Trade, Finance, and Financial Crises." The contents, the crisis that triggered the financial sector, have a greater opportunity menjungkalkan economy. The crisis now is to overwrite termaju countries, such as the U.S., Europe and Japan, the absorbent main demand world. However, this has tremendous impact on various countries, with a world that is mutually connected. The world's poorest nation, as it is said Ban Ki-moon, is the most important. The decrease of international assistance is one thing that is certain to step down. International trade will also decrease. A number of multinational companies have complained about the slow exports. Suggestions that the public is encouraged penggenjotan government budget, mengompensasi the decline in private consumption and investment. Indonesia's reaction, the economic stimulus. Leadership in our countries is very necessary, as Franklin D Roosevelt said that successfully extricate the U.S. from the crisis. Leadership not only in the form of additional spending, but also the ability to remove economic distortions, such as charges, or bribes, corruption, bureaucracy and the sluggish service. According to the economist Peru, Hernando de Soto, a sluggish bureaucracy is the fruit of leadership and political elite of the doldrums. Not elite who can receive the doldrums?
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